Whoosh..

[Extraordinarius]

Observation about the PIAT: according to the tests by POS the PIAT has a hit chance of 44% at 100 meters. In a game I'm playing (against POS !) one of my PIAT teams shot 6 times at a Panzer IV from about 85 meters, hitting once. It gave a hit probability of 37%. Way lower therefore then the test by POS indicated. Of course, visibility plays a part too.

Ahhh, yesss. Probablility versus actuality.

Many, many years ago, I reached the final round of a convention tournament for a board war game. On the very last turn, with a dozen onlookers gathered 'round, I tossed the traditional cubical die in my palm and uttered the cursed words, in my best Bugs Bunny voice; "You realize, of course, that to lose this one I would have to roll six consecutive 'twos'." I rolled a 'two', and 'two', and 'two' again. I asked the umpire for another die and rolled yet another. I borrowed a third from my friend Roger who had been eliminated earlier, and rolled 'two' again. "Want to try mine?" asked my opponent, somewhat bemused. I said "sure".... and, if you hadn't already guessed, rolled another 'two'.

Roger has been a Chicago Cubs fan for forty years, as well as my friend for thirty five. He says the two facts seem to be related.