Suthin' Discomfut' REKM45 KEEP OUT!!

[Anthropoid]

Entry 4

The events of Late Sept 1862
We are ahead of schedule on our building plans as projected in Late August, and hopefully we shall be producing in excess of 45 of all key resources before the end of the year. We’ve had some good luck and some bad with Impressments. Unfortunately, at present two of our provinces are experiencing unrest as a result of rabble rousers who are attempting to thwart the noble cause :(

Nonetheless, so far we have an unbroken chain of victories, albeit small ones



My actuaries and I have projected the rate of casualties versus the rate of replacement given our current number of Camps (5) and the number projected for construction in the coming few months. Our scouts and border guards in the Rappahanock district have taken note of a buildup of Union forces across the Potomac, thus we are anticipating an attack into Rappahannock within the next few weeks before winter sets in.

Using a cumulative average algorithm, and allowing for one moderate sized battle with 5000 casualties this winter, one large battle with 10,000 next spring, and one large with 15,000 next summer, but using the existing rates of small battles: Our projected rate of Camp building of one camp each half-month over the next 7 turns would bring us to a total of 14 camps by Early March 1862. At this rate, our number of replacements needed would drop from the current value of 64,583 to 58,306 by March, and to 48,893 by L Sept 1862. I believe this is a more or less realistic rate of building Camps. Assuming a continued rate of one camp each month beyond that through L Aug 1862 (bringing a total of 20 camps completed by L Sept 1862) would yield a projected number of depletions in our Brigades of by L Sept 1862 of approximately 33,125.

Now this is to say nothing of the fact that we need additional Brigades, and Containers in order to meet the steadily growing number of Yankee units that will be facing us.



At present we are in fact a bit short of units for providing anything like adequate coverage of our now much larger front. With KY now in the Union, our central TN area is in dire danger if we are not able to increase our number of manned Divisions quickly.

Presently we have three well-manned, well-armed and experienced Divisions in the MO-KS area (see attached illustration below for an overview of our distribution of military units relative to the Yanks)

The objective here is to force Yank to pull troops from his KY and Eastern theatres else suffer harmful long-term consequences. It is my intent to beat back the depleted units in this region which have already been licked in battle several times. Reinforcing these units will draw some of Billy Yanks replacements from elsewhere in the north. The towns of Topeka and Jeff City will be plundered and then these Div will move on after winter

The Dept of Texas under command of van Dorn is holding fast for now in Neosho Province KS. They will advance north next turn to drive the depleted SW Exped under Lyon out of Topeka. Brigadier Dubose is making his way West to join van Dorn’s efforts. I see that a fort is under construction in Topeka Province, and it will be a pleasure to tear down that effort before it gets too far along.

MO State Guard under command of D.H. Hill with Withers and Clark is in the Lower MO Jeff City province now. Buford who is a capable cavalry commander is on his way to join MSG. MSG will act as a screening force for Army of the West, under command of Hardee, Bartow and Bee. AW Division will seek to plunder Jefferson City next chance.

Dept #2 (1st Am of the Confederacy) under Johnston J.E. with Buckner attached, and also with 7th Div (commanded by Loring) is unfortunately still lingering in the Memphis area despite repeated orders to advance on to Cairo. I suppose next chance, I will have to make these orders more emphatic and include an insistence to Force March north along the Mississippi post-haste. I intend to plunder Cairo as soon as possible

Dept #1 under Johnston A.S. and with McCulloch attached has just taken control of the Paducah Province. This Div will move either north, or east into KY depending on Billy Yanks movements.



In the east, Lieutenant General Jackson has just won another victory in Grafton Province (2101 Union casualties vs. 1227). What is needed are an additional two to three Divisions to take up positions between Jackson and Johnston A.S. and to fill in the gap along the TN border that has emerged because of Kentucky’s choice to enter the war with the North.

Major Gen Early with Brigadier Ewell is in command of the Army of Northwest, holding fast in Franklin VA province. Depending on what Yank does in the Potomac area, Early may move north into Cumberland which appears to be unguarded at this time.

Gen Lee is in charge of the Army of Potomac, holding fast in Fredricksburg, and Generals Anderson and Holmes are on the defense in Rappahannock in charge of Dept of Norfolk.