Some statistics

[Hawk Kriegsman]

Well I am not so sure that you have only the slight increase that you think you have.

One now has to factor in the relative strength of the US player verses the German player.

In the TS 18 matches the attacker's have an unweighted points percentage (each person percentage counted equally as any others) of .510 while in the German players had an unweighted points percentage of .553. The German players were statisically quite better than the attackers. This gave the German players a higher percentage of wins than if they were facing equal opponents.

All told the Germans won 38% of the matches outright.

Now we go to the matrix 1.04 data:

The American players had an unweighted points percentage of .526 while the German players had a points percentage of .546. This is a much closer level of opponent than previously and yet the Germans gained 2 more wins. While 9 wins verses 7 is not much numerically you need to compare the winning percentages. In Matrix 1.04 the Germans one 53% of the time. This is a 15% increase in outright wins and verses slightly better American players.

This is statisically very telling.

The point of all this? You can make statistics tell you what ever you want. Just depends on how you write them up and spin them.

The truest way to say that this one scenario is harder/not harder with 1.04 is to have all the same 17 matches with the same players playing each other turn off the extreme assault rules and play again.

I am confident in saying you will see a dramatic rise in American wins.

Thanx!

Hawk