First World War Campaigns - More insight into combat odds

[Mr Grumpy]

I will admit that I really more on what I have learned from observation than on the math, especially because in this game I try to err on the side of overcommitting to a melee. As a rule of thumb, do not melee any infantry battalion that is not disordered, and try to melee with 2 battalions even against a disordered infantry unit. The penalties for lost melees as an attacker can be so high that I err on the side of overkill. The downside is that now, after the melee, win or lose, you have a nice fat stack for the enemy to shoot.

Yes I agree, with enough experience you get a gut feeling for what assaults will be likely to succeed and which have little chance of success, but even I am surprised at times.